Consuming Food – Connecting The Dots
10 June 2020
Bottom line:
The constraints driving the digitization of the global food industry are ineluctable, and the tectonic shifts in consumer’s demands and behaviours in
both advanced and emerging economies are compounding the pressing need to act for the key players in the field.
Nevertheless, we are still at the very early stages of this process and very few listed players offer proper and direct exposure to invest in this
promising area. Since the beginning we have been closely following this segment our Sustainable Future universe and have already built some
exposure. We are likely to selectively add some names to our portfolio as the opportunities arise.
Overview
Profitability
Integrating the consumer into the digital food chain is being driven by both the demand of consumers themselves, and the interest of other actors in the value chain.
- Consumers are becoming more wary of health and sustainability issues, demand better information about what they eat and are ready to pay the price when justified.
- Relevant data on consumers’ demands and requirements allow producers, transformers and distributor to leverage their digital infrastructure to quickly adapt and maximize profits..
Environmental impact
The new technologies being deployed around the food consumer aim at reducing carbon footprint, avoid waste and optimize resource utilization. Digital tracking and innovative packaging contribute to reduce the intolerable amount of food wasted through the supply chain. Digital apps empower the consumer to take better informed decisions and directly influence the overall food supply chain.
- A third of the food produced is wasted through the food supply chain.
Health impact
Going digital has the most positive benefits for the end user – apps are fostering healthier lifestyle and dietary habits, while the digital innovations in the supply chain ensure fresher and properly sourced food lands on consumers’ tables.
- Smartphone penetration rates are allowing a broader consumer base to connect to the digital food chain, contributing to a virtuous snowball effect.
Traceability – The Tech
Food-sensing technologies to improve safety, quality
Food safety & quality are a major concern for the industry across the value chain. The integration of non-invasive sensing technologies within the food supply-chain allows actors to closely track and monitor food, reduce waste and improve safety.
- Hyperspectral scanning identifies signs of food bruising or rotting, and nearinfrared spectrometry measure moisture, protein or fat content to ensure integrity
- Food recalls, happening when food is found to pose safety issues or defects that could endanger consumer, are estimated to cost on avg. $10mn (direct cost) per recall in the U.S.
IoT, Digital and Analytics technologies put at the service of supply chain
The use of IoT devices in the food industry is also benefiting supply chains. Food products are attributed unique identifiers (e.g. RFID tags or barcodes) gathering food-specific data such as origin, water usage, etc. and integrate a connected ecosystem.
- A third (approx.1.3bn tons) of all produced food is wasted or lost within the supply chain, notably during post-harvest, processing and distribution phases.
- Smart thermostats secure the cold chain during transport & delivery, inventory sensors help warehouse management & enable capacity planning, smart appliances (like connected fridges) assist consumers.
Blockchain applied to the food industry
Blockchain technology finds easy application in food traceability, where each actor of the supply chain securely shares labelled data points. Beyond improving traceability, blockchain technology could also help identify inefficiencies, track frauds, as well as revolutionize the pricing mechanism by providing more transparency
- IBM’s Food Trust network, a private & permissioned blockchain platform, enables trusted transactions throughout the entire food supply chain with a users list that includes Nestle, Unilever, Walmart, and Carrefour.
Traceability – The Impact
Comparative benefits
Transparency enables consumers to access info on food’s origin, social equity, safety, and sustainability which are all elements impacting purchase decisions. Additionally, gathering data all along the supply chain journey allows stakeholders to better identify and address food losses, while it also improves visibility to governments who can more precisely identify and respond to food safety issues.
- Traceability helps to identify various issues, including unreliable transport network, inefficient cold-chain, poor harvesting practices.
Challenges
Lack of standardization and interoperability among solutions compound with difficult access to sufficient infrastructure especially for small farmers living in developing countries. For a truly interconnected traceability system to work properly, all value-chain players need to be involved, agree on the system used, the data collected, and how & where these are shared.
- Approximately 765mn people living in rural areas lack access to electricity.
- IoT devices are susceptible to hacking, which could threaten economics and health integrity.
Market potential
Food systems are to benefit from the deployment of new technologies seeking for end-to-end traceability through the value chain. Full traceability will only be achieved through technology deployment, standardization and stakeholder collaboration
- IoT and Traceability for Food & Beverage Manufacturing market is expected to grow from $4.1bn in 2017 to $8.4bn by 2027 at a CAGR of 9.5%.
Next-Gen Packaging – The Tech
Bioplastics to clean up packaging
Plastic used in food packaging is a growing concern as people realize the impact of single-use plastic on the environment. Among new solutions is the use of so-called “bioplastics” which are generally made of either carbohydrate-rich plants (e.g. corn, sugar cane), sugar derivatives (e.g. cellulose, starch), non-edible by-products of food production (e.g. corn stover, straw, bagasse), or organic food waste.
- Today bioplastics represent less than 1% of the yearly 359mn tons of plastic.
Bio-based, biodegradable, or both
Bio-based plastics are not necessarily biodegradable. Bioplastics can be classified into 3 categories: bio-based & non-biodegradable usually made from bioethanol (e.g. bio-based PET, PE or PP), fossil-based biodegradable usually combined with starch (e.g. PBAT, PCL) or both bio-based & biodegradable (e.g. PLA, PHA. PBS).
- Biodegradability of bioplastic happens when microorganisms present in the environ - ment decompose the material into natural substances (e.g. water, compost, CO2).
- In 2019, 1.2mn (55.5% of total bioplastics produced) were biodegradable.
Active & intelligent packaging on the rise
Active packaging refers to packages that, in addition to contain and protect products, do also provide active functions such as sensing and monitoring food attributes and extending shelf-life. Active components include for instance: oxygen scavengers (preventing oxidation by absorbing oxygen), antimicrobials (prevent food deteriora - tion by stopping the growth of microorganisms), antioxidants (slowing down oxida - tion), or advanced time-temperature monitors.
- Early adopters include U.K.’s supermarket chain Morrison who recently introduced an antibacterial trolley bag (reusable shopping bag).
Next-Gen Packaging – The Impact
Comparative benefits
The use of bioplastics as a substitution to fossil-based plastic reduces significantly packages’ carbon footprint while active packages reduce food waste. Active packaging does also feature higher quality and safety properties with longer high-quality preservation of food, while also providing information on food quality & integrity to consumers.
- Replacing the total annual European demand of fossil-based polyethylene (PE) by bio-based PE would save >42mn tones of CO2.
Challenges
Both bioplastics and active packaging are more expensive than traditional packaging solutions, therefore lacking direct economic incentives for packagers. The adoption of more sustainable packaging solutions is subject to regulatory-based incentives which are to be set & standardized on a global scale. Also biodegradable plastics still need to be disposed and composted in a proper manner to biodegrade.
- Current low-oil prices is challenging the cost-competitiveness of bioplastics which are estimated to be 20% to 50% more expensive than conventional plastics.
Market potential
The use of next-generation packaging solutions is set to increase in the upcoming years, driven mainly by consumer pressure, as well as its health & environmental benefits
- The global bioplastic market is expected to grow from $8.3bn in 2019 o $27.4bn by 2027 at a CAGR of 16.1%.
- The active and intelligence packaging market is expected to grow from $17.5bn in 2019 to $25.16bn by 2025 at a CAGR of 6.78%.
Food Apps – The Tech
The digital nutritionist: combine apps and wearables
Mobile platforms combine different types of biological variables (e.g., age, weight, food preferences, allergies, level of activity, body hydration, sleep, heart rate, etc.) to help consumers live better, healthier lives, including by tailoring their diet to specific needs.
- FoodMarble measures hydrogen levels to analyze a person's digestive health.
- Lumen has designed an inhaler-shaped product that measures carbon dioxide levels in the user's breath in order to monitor a person’s metabolism.
- Livongo proposes remote access to nutrition and lifestyle coaches.
Raising food consciousness
Consumers are more engaged, better informed and seeking greater transparency from food producers and distributors. Tools such as the Yuka smartphone app allow to scan products on the shelf to analyze their nutritional score and eventually offer alternatives to poorly rated foods promoting healthier consumption habits.
- Each app has its in-house algorithm that considers the nutritional value, the presence of bad additives and the organic origin.
Food delivery
The use of digital channels for food retail has caught fire during the COVID-19 out - break. New food delivery options are emerging, leveraging on new smartphone apps, ride-hailing services and new logistic platforms. This trend is expected to accelerate with notably the ongoing shift towards single-person households and the diversified & always-cheaper food delivery options.
- The emergence of new technologies such as autonomous delivery robots or drones would likely accelerate the industry shift towards digital retail.
- Some food delivery apps work directly with selected organic producers to deliver fresh seasonal foods or even meals.
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Food Apps – The Impact
Comparative benefits
Healthy food and lifestyle is the first line of defense against most illnesses, such as hypertension, diabetes, obesity and heart diseases. Nutrition data integrates with other habits like exercise and sleep to ultimately help reach fitness goals and improve health.
- Mobile apps can provide personalized suggestions and nutrition tips.
- By proposing alternatives to unsustainable foods or working directly with organic producers, these apps are boosting the shift in consumers’ habits.
Challenges
Users enter information about their diet, daily exercise routines, and medical and mental health conditions, so the utilization of nutrition apps and wearables raise significant questions regarding data protection. In addition, these apps are not always accurate. They put at the same level allergenic and toxicity, and do not consider the dosing.
- By applying the precautionary principle they tend to identify as dangerous ingredients whose toxicity has not been necessarily proven.
Market potential
Rising health awareness, the growing trend of digital solutions for healthcare and price (cheaper than group therapy or medication) are contributing to market growth.
- Personalized nutrition market is expected to reach $16.4bn by 2026, at a CAGR of 16%.
- The global market of food delivery represents $134bn in 2019 and is expected to reach $182bn by 2024, growing at a CAGR of 7.5%.
Players – List Of Relevant Pure* Players In The Industries

Catalysts
- Wider acceptance. All advanced technologies have a steepening acceptance curve, as pioneers are followed by the masses. Early players able to establish brand recognition will reap the benefits.
- Decreasing skilled workforce. Skilled labor scarcity is affecting the agricultural industry in a way that accelerates the transition towards more automation & efficiency.
- Product scalability. Partnerships or M&A with major food and beverage diversified conglomerates will allow smaller, pioneering companies to increase their production, reduce costs and expand markets.
Risks
- Health and safety. The lack of long-term studies demonstrating the safety and health benefit balance can represent a limit for wide adoption of advanced technologies across the whole industry.
- Standardization and interoperability. The diversity of solutions and the lack of standardization might hamper the adoption of innovative farming technologies with traditional farmers being lost in all the new tech.
- Regulation. Regulators have to thread cautiously, and could limit the development of the markets for new technologies until they prove their safety for the consumer.
Sources:
What are bioplastics? Food Industry: Intelligent Packaging Paves the Way for Better Business, Bioplastics Market Size, Share & Trends Analysis Report By Product Active and Intelligent Packaging Market - Growth, Trends, and Forecast (2020 - 2025), Mordorintelligence.com, researchsandmarkets
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